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Netherlands Enterprise Agency | RVO
Onderzoek toont effect van warmtepompen op elektriciteitsnet
Source published: 31 January 2025

Research Shows Impact of Heat Pumps on Electricity Grid

Research shows the effect of heat pumps on the electricity grid

More than 700,000 homes and buildings in the Netherlands have a heat pump. But what effect does this have on the electricity grid? Research by the Netherlands Enterprise Agency (RVO) shows that fully electric heat pumps burden the electricity grid more than hybrid heat pumps, but less than solar panels or electric vehicles.

Significant Differences Between Fully Electric and Hybrid Heat Pumps

For the first time, research has been conducted on such a large scale regarding the effect of homes with heat pumps on the electricity grid. The research is based on smart meter data from more than 6,000 homes. One of the conclusions is that fully electric heat pumps cause higher peaks on the electricity grid than hybrid heat pumps. Fully electric heat pumps require more electricity and power because they do not rely on a boiler when it is very cold outside, whereas a hybrid heat pump can.

Heat Pumps Demand Less Power Simultaneously Than Thought

The effect of heat pumps on the grid does not only depend on the amount of power they require. Also important is the timing of their electricity demand and how many heat pumps do so simultaneously. The research shows that heat pumps demand less power simultaneously than previously thought. This also applies to fully electric heat pumps. Furthermore, there is still enough capacity on the electricity grid. This research provides grid operators with tools to respond to the electricity demand of fully electric heat pumps.

Loss Surface Best Predictor of Electricity Demand

The loss surface of a house is the most important predictor of the amount of electricity and power heat pumps need. This is also shown by the research. It is more important than the construction year or the floor area of the house. The loss surface is the total area of the house that has direct contact with the outside air. This causes the building to lose heat. The larger the loss surface, the more heat the house loses, and the more electricity the heat pump needs. Homes with a large loss surface using a heat pump therefore demand more from the electricity grid.

Valuable Information for Energy Transition

The results of the research provide important information for the energy transition (the shift from fossil to renewable energy). It is now clearer how much influence heat pumps have on the electricity grid. The research also shows the total electricity demand per home, including solar panels and electric vehicles.

With this information, grid operators can better estimate what is possible on the current electricity grid. They can also better plan investments in the grid. Furthermore, it helps policymakers, such as municipalities or housing corporations, to assess what is feasible in the field of energy transition.

About This Research

Research agency BDH conducted the research on behalf of RVO, which collaborated with Techniek Nederland and Netbeheer Nederland. Read all research results and conclusions in the report below.

Commissioned by:
  • Ministry of Climate and Green Growth
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Source last updated: 31 January 2025
Published on Openrijk: 31 January 2025
Source: RVO